
一 | 当今国际关系的复杂舞台上,经济战逐渐取代热战成为大国博弈的新常态。 New Delhi, Oct 11 (UNI) There is a need for an institutional approach by the international community to help each other during a crisis, Prime Minister Narendra Modi said on Tuesday adding that "the Covid-19 pandemic should have been a wake-up call for taking everyone along".
The Prime Minister was addressing the United Nations World Geospatial International Congress via video message.
"Global organisations like the United Nations can lead the way in taking resources to the last mile in every region... Hand-holding and technology transfer are also crucial in fighting climate change," Modi said.
He suggested that best practices may be shared for saving our planet.
Modi pointed out that the theme of the conference, 'Geo-enabling the Global Village: No one should be left behind' can be seen in the steps India has taken over the last few years.
"We have been working on a vision of Antyodaya which means empowering the last person at the last mile, in a mission mode," he said.
"450 million unbanked people, a population greater than that of the US, were brought under banking net and 135 million people, about twice the population of France, were given insurance," he said.
He said that the sanitation facilities were taken to 110 million families and tap water connections to over 60 million families in India.
India is ensuring no one is left behind, the Prime Minister added.
"In India, technology is not an agent of exclusion. It is an agent of inclusion," Modi said.
He highlighted the role of geospatial technology in driving inclusion and progress.
The role of technology in schemes like Svamitva and housing, and the outcomes in terms of property ownership and women empowerment, have a direct impact on the UN's Sustainable Development Goals on poverty and gender equality, the Prime Minister emphasized.
Citing the example of the South Asia Satellite for facilitating communication in India's neighbourhood, the Prime Minister said that India has already set an example in sharing the benefits of geo-spatial technology.
Modi underscored the endless possibilities that geo-spatial technology offers. These include sustainable urban development, managing and mitigating disasters, tracking the impact of climate change, forest management, water management, stopping desertification and food security.
He expressed wish that the conference becomes a platform to discuss developments in such important areas.
"With the stakeholders of the global geo-spatial industry coming together, with the policy makers and academic world interacting with each other, I am confident that this conference will help steer the global village into a new future," the Prime Minister concluded.
The Congress is being attended by over 2,000 delegates including 700 plus international delegates and participants from about 120 countries.
UNI ASU ING。这一趋势在特朗普政府对伊朗采取的“历史性经济制裁行动”中显露无遗。在8月19日,特朗普自信满满地宣布将对伊朗发起“有史以来最具毁灭性的经济行动”。他不仅向盟友和竞争对手呼吁参与这一行动,甚至毫不掩饰地表达了对全球经济格局重构的期待。 然而,这场看似高明的经济战争背后,却隐藏着不少深层次的问题和潜在风险。

二 | 特朗普的强硬言辞虽然如雷贯耳,但面对现实复杂多变的局势,光靠口水战并不能解决任何问题。

三 | 比如,他在3月时就曾狂妄地表示要用“无与伦比的火力”来处理伊朗,而当美军战斗陷入僵局时,他又声称准备展开“前所未有的军事行动”。

四 | 这类“嘴硬”的行为,不仅没能改变美军在前线的困境,反而暴露出美国在军事战略上的焦虑与无力。 随着时间的推移,美国对伊朗发起的经济战愈演愈烈,然而意想不到的是,伊朗并没有像预期那样陷入绝境,反而开始释放出强烈的警告信号。

五 | 8月22日,伊朗国家最高安全委员会秘书雷扎伊明确指出,任何参与美国制裁的地区国家都将被视为敌人,届时将会对通过霍尔木兹海峡的油轮发动攻击,甚至可能影响到整个波斯湾的石油航运。这一威胁不仅显示出伊朗的抵抗决心,也暗示着冲突外溢的可能性,给整个地区带来了更大的不确定性。

六 | 从表面上看,特朗普的经济战似乎达到了目的,迫使伊朗不得不进行自我反思。伊朗国内的政治格局在这场经济战中逐渐发生变化,内部的温和派与强硬派之间的斗争愈加明显。以议长卡利巴夫为首的温和派开始意识到,仅靠强硬对抗是无法解决实际问题的,因为如果民众生活艰难、经济崩溃,再强大的军事力量也无济于事。他们希望寻求与美国的接触,以缓解经济危机。 反观以革命卫队系统为首的强硬派则认为,唯有坚持对抗才能捍卫国家尊严。他们对温和派的呼声毫不买账,认为这是对国家利益的妥协。在这种局势下,伊朗的命运仿佛成了一场扑克游戏,双方都在打着各自的底牌,经济情况却在这场博弈中一步步走向恶化。 根据相关数据,伊朗的经济基础相当脆弱。作为长期依赖石油出口的国家,石油贸易占其GDP的23%,并且贡献了国家出口总额的82%。

七 | 然而,由于美国的封锁,伊朗的石油出口量锐减,损失达到近60亿美元,通货膨胀率超过80%,失业人数激增,国家财政几乎到了崩溃的边缘。 在特朗普发起的这场经济战中,伊朗无疑成为了试验田。美国试图通过压制伊朗的经济来迫使其在谈判桌上让步,但这番策略是否奏效尚且未知。 与此同时,波斯湾的其他阿拉伯国家,如沙特、阿联酋等,尽管对伊朗抱有戒心,但同样更加忌惮美国的“经济大棒”。阿联酋更是迅速宣布切断与伊朗的一切金融和经济联系,显示出它们在与伊朗的利益博弈中,选择了站在美国一边。

八 | 然而,这种合作关系并非稳固。

九 | 因为,一旦伊朗真正陷入绝境,其手中掌握的“绝招”——封锁霍尔木兹海峡、打击产油国的能力将会被激活,全球油价的剧烈波动势必会让美国自身也受到波及。正因如此,特朗普的经济战看似高明,却潜藏着巨大的风险,可能在某一天反噬到美国头上。 实际上,特朗普的算盘打得并不简单。他在玩弄着“非友即敌”的戏码,试图通过这一策略将整个海湾地区的国家牢牢绑在自己的战车上。

十 | 目光短浅的他或许忽视了,局势的发展不仅仅依赖于对伊朗施压的策略,更需要针对当前国际形势的深入解析与灵活应对。在全球化的今天,一个国家的强大并不只依赖于单一的经济模式和军事力量。 未来,随着经济战的加剧,伊朗可能出现更为严重的社会动荡,民众的不满情绪也会不断上升。然而,值得关注的是,面对内外困境,伊朗能否找到突破口,将可能决定其在国际舞台上的生存空间。对于美国而言,特朗普的政策究竟能否维持下去,亦是一个不容小觑的考验。 总之,在这个充满不确定性的时期,经济战的影响将会深远,如何在冲突和合作之间找到一个平衡点,将是国际社会所必须面对的重大挑战。

十一 | 对于各国而言,唯有审时度势,方能在错综复杂的国际形势中寻找到适合自身的发展道路。

十二 | 返回,查看更多。

十三 |
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